Annual exceedance probability analysis
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The work Annual exceedance probability analysis represents a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in Brigham Young University. This resource is a combination of several types including: Work, Language Material, http://bibfra.me/vocab/marc/Manuscript, Books.
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Annual exceedance probability analysis
Resource Information
The work Annual exceedance probability analysis represents a distinct intellectual or artistic creation found in Brigham Young University. This resource is a combination of several types including: Work, Language Material, http://bibfra.me/vocab/marc/Manuscript, Books.
 Label
 Annual exceedance probability analysis
 Statement of responsibility
 by Masako Amai Gardner
 Language
 eng
 Summary
 Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP) is the method used by U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) to determine the probability of flooding caused by the failure of a levee or other flood control structure. This method shows the probability of flooding only at one particular location at a time. In order to overcome the limitation of AEP, a new method of studying flood probability, called an AEP map, was presented. By using hydrologic and hydraulic modeling software, an AEP map can be created to determine and visualize the spatial distribution of the probability of flooding. An AEP map represents a continuous solution of the probability of flooding and can be used to derive not only the limits of the typical 100year inundation, but any other return period including the 20year, 50year, 500year storm flood. The AEP map can be more useful than traditional flood hazard maps, since it makes it possible to evaluate the probability of flooding at any location within the floodplain. In the process of creating the AEP map, it is necessary to run number of simulations in order to accurately represent the probability distribution of flooding. The objective of this research, given a desktop computer of today2s capacity, is to demonstrate the convergence of AEP maps after a reasonable number of simulations, so that users can have some guidelines to decide how many simulations are necessary. The Virgin River, UT is the primary study area for this research, with Gila River, AZ also used to support the results. The result of this research demonstrates the convergence of AEP maps by illustrating the convergence of water surface elevations computed as part of the hydraulic simulation leading up to the floodplain delineation model. If the average water surface elevations converge, then the resulting floodplain delineation (AEP maps) should also converge. The result proves that AEP maps do converge with a reasonable number of simulations. This research also shows the convergence of floodplain areas to demonstrate the convergence of AEP maps
 Cataloging source
 UPB
 Degree
 M.S.
 Dissertation year
 2005
 Granting institution
 Brigham Young University. Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering
 Illustrations
 illustrations
 Index
 no index present
 Literary form
 non fiction
 Nature of contents

 bibliography
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1 Items of the Work Annual exceedance probability analysis
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<div class="citation" vocab="http://schema.org/"><i class="fa faexternallinksquare fafw"></i> Data from <span resource="http://link.lib.byu.edu/resource/MMCSaVD27ho/" typeof="CreativeWork http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/Work"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a href="http://link.lib.byu.edu/resource/MMCSaVD27ho/">Annual exceedance probability analysis</a></span>  <span property="potentialAction" typeOf="OrganizeAction"><span property="agent" typeof="LibrarySystem http://library.link/vocab/LibrarySystem" resource="http://link.lib.byu.edu/"><span property="name http://bibfra.me/vocab/lite/label"><a property="url" href="http://link.lib.byu.edu/">Brigham Young University</a></span></span></span></span></div>